RANKING · 2024 ACS · 500 SHOWN OF 3,090

Highest Scotch-Irish population share, US counties

US counties ranked by the share of all residents who are Scotch-Irish ancestry (2023 American Community Survey). A concentration measure: Scotch-Irish residents as a percentage of total population.

All statesAll rankings

SAME RANKING BYCities States Metros

RELATEDLargest American population Highest American population share Largest Arab population Highest Arab population share Largest Egyptian population Highest Egyptian population share

YEAR2010 2020 2024

RANKPLACESTATEPOPSCOTCH-IRISH SHAREVS 2000

501White Pine County, NVNV8,6611.5%–

502Schoolcraft County, MIMI8,1871.5%–

503Lake County, OROR8,1871.5%–

504Renville County, NDND2,3311.5%–

505Richland County, SCSC434,9561.5%–

506Harnett County, NCNC150,1371.5%–

507Caswell County, NCNC22,5631.5%–

508Houston County, TNTN8,4791.5%–

509Lancaster County, VAVA10,9951.5%–

510Camp County, TXTX13,3801.5%–

511Barbour County, ALAL24,6071.5%–

512Teller County, COCO24,7561.5%–

513Johnson County, MOMO56,6701.5%–

514Maury County, TNTN118,1311.5%–

515Jackson County, OROR221,7951.5%–

516Wahkiakum County, WAWA4,8731.5%–

517York County, MEME222,4341.5%–

518Lewis and Clark County, MTMT75,3311.5%–

519Page County, VAVA23,7621.5%–

520Seminole County, GAGA9,1621.5%–

521Mesa County, COCO162,8451.4%–

522Stillwater County, MTMT9,4451.4%–

523Dorchester County, SCSC178,3971.4%–

524Warren County, TNTN43,7171.4%–

525Torrance County, NMNM16,1001.4%–

526Decatur County, GAGA29,4321.4%–

527Jefferson County, KSKS18,2961.4%–

528Mecklenburg County, VAVA30,7471.4%–

529Alleghany County, NCNC11,4791.4%–

530Sagadahoc County, MEME37,9791.4%–

531Ketchikan Gateway, AKAK13,5491.4%–

532Oldham County, KYKY70,9861.4%–

533Newton County, ININ14,1881.4%–

534Greene County, MOMO309,2861.4%–

535Waynesboro, VAVA23,9511.4%–

536Otoe County, NENE16,5311.4%–

537Stevens County, KSKS4,9841.4%–

538Strafford County, NHNH135,0431.4%–

539Eddy County, NDND2,3291.4%–

540Clarke County, GAGA129,9211.4%–

541Radford, VAVA17,2431.4%–

542Bourbon County, KSKS14,3191.4%–

543Sharp County, ARAR18,1221.4%–

544Gilpin County, COCO6,0731.4%–

545Hemphill County, TXTX3,0831.4%–

546Dunklin County, MOMO26,8551.4%–

547King County, TXTX1921.4%–

548Clatsop County, OROR40,9261.4%–

549Tattnall County, GAGA24,3761.4%–

550Mercer County, WVWV57,5031.4%–

551Floyd County, KYKY34,4011.4%–

552Clay County, MOMO265,0321.4%–

553Charleston County, SCSC436,2001.4%–

554Montgomery County, VAVA98,4341.4%–

555Jasper County, SCSC38,5331.4%–

556Kennebec County, MEME129,0671.4%–

557Alcona County, MIMI10,5561.4%–

558Lincoln County, OKOK35,2781.4%–

559Gallatin County, MTMT128,7401.4%–

560Marion County, WVWV55,5841.4%–

561Parker County, TXTX184,7671.4%–

562Tuscarawas County, OHOH92,3731.4%–

563Baker County, FLFL29,7371.4%–

564Darlington County, SCSC62,8881.4%–

565Lawrence County, TNTN46,9141.4%–

566Bland County, VAVA6,1511.4%–

567Knott County, KYKY13,3211.4%–

568Knox County, ININ35,6521.4%–

569Henderson County, TXTX88,5951.4%–

570Frederick County, VAVA99,9551.4%–

571Mason County, WVWV24,7071.4%–

572Greenup County, KYKY35,2131.4%–

573Haralson County, GAGA33,0661.4%–

574Montgomery County, IAIA10,0021.4%–

575Choctaw County, ALAL11,9041.4%–

576Limestone County, ALAL122,9281.4%–

577Bracken County, KYKY8,5111.4%–

578Morgan County, OHOH13,6261.4%–

579Loup County, NENE5701.4%–

580Bell County, KYKY22,8291.4%–

581Crook County, WYWY7,8521.4%–

582Putnam County, ININ37,8761.4%–

583Griggs County, NDND2,2391.4%–

584Webster County, IAIA36,8381.4%–

585Shannon County, MOMO7,2851.4%–

586Columbia County, FLFL74,0941.4%–

587Mendocino County, CACA88,1221.4%–

588Victoria County, TXTX92,6561.4%–

589Grundy County, TNTN14,1161.4%–

590Madison County, ALAL433,5161.4%–

591McCormick County, SCSC10,2151.4%–

592Walton County, FLFL93,2881.4%–

593Jefferson County, ININ33,2791.4%–

594Warren County, VAVA42,7401.4%–

595Madison County, KYKY101,6961.4%–

596Baker County, OROR16,6581.4%–

597Cherokee County, SCSC58,2751.4%–

598Scotland County, NCNC33,3221.4%–

599Cowlitz County, WAWA114,8851.4%–

600Logan County, OKOK55,4731.4%–

601Westmoreland County, PAPA349,3241.4%–

602Platte County, WYWY8,6341.4%–

603Marion County, ARAR17,5931.4%–

604Cherokee County, GAGA299,2731.4%–

605Kitsap County, WAWA283,3741.4%–

606Washington County, OKOK54,0371.4%–

607Coal County, OKOK5,4361.4%–

608Johnson County, ILIL13,3631.4%–

609Judith Basin County, MTMT2,1621.4%–

610Dallas County, MOMO18,0251.4%–

611Washakie County, WYWY7,5971.4%–

612Harding County, NMNM6171.3%–

613Grafton County, NHNH93,2251.3%–

614Stafford County, VAVA170,8031.3%–

615Stone County, MOMO32,5031.3%–

616Boone County, KYKY145,3161.3%–

617Allegheny County, PAPA1,225,0351.3%–

618Morgan County, MOMO22,4181.3%–

619Pittsylvania County, VAVA59,4901.3%–

620Hopkins County, KYKY45,1271.3%–

621Henrico County, VAVA342,7751.3%–

622Williamsburg County, SCSC29,6621.3%–

623Fisher County, TXTX3,6921.3%–

624Asotin County, WAWA22,5451.3%–

625Allen County, KYKY22,5361.3%–

626Fayette County, TNTN45,0711.3%–

627Stephens County, GAGA27,8541.3%–

628Cullman County, ALAL94,0091.3%–

629Oglethorpe County, GAGA16,4151.3%–

630Okaloosa County, FLFL221,8101.3%–

631Comal County, TXTX209,1661.3%–

632Lewis County, MOMO9,8791.3%–

633Amelia County, VAVA13,6321.3%–

634Windham County, VTVT45,2041.3%–

635Polk County, MOMO33,6041.3%–

636Lane County, OROR381,5841.3%–

637James City County, VAVA83,3261.3%–

638Carroll County, KYKY11,1411.3%–

639Marshall County, KYKY31,6591.3%–

640Coffee County, TNTN62,4191.3%–

641Piscataquis County, MEME17,4091.3%–

642Yazoo County, MSMS22,9471.3%–

643Clarion County, PAPA36,6801.3%–

644Benton County, MOMO20,5361.3%–

645Greene County, OHOH174,3221.3%–

646Quay County, NMNM8,4541.3%–

647Mason County, ILIL12,4111.3%–

648Shenandoah County, VAVA45,8391.3%–

649Converse County, WYWY13,8241.3%–

650Delaware County, OKOK41,9101.3%–

651Skagit County, WAWA132,9751.3%–

652Noble County, OKOK10,8991.3%–

653Island County, WAWA85,6571.3%–

654Lawrence County, OHOH55,7101.3%–

655St. Clair County, ALAL98,2061.3%–

656Lee County, ALAL189,8811.3%–

657Scott County, ARAR9,9651.3%–

658Carroll County, NHNH52,7841.3%–

659Knox County, ILIL47,7671.3%–

660Larimer County, COCO377,2921.3%–

661Williamson County, TXTX752,8271.3%–

662Cheyenne County, NENE9,5281.3%–

663Garrett County, MDMD28,3701.3%–

664Macon County, TNTN27,6631.3%–

665Rockcastle County, KYKY16,1481.3%–

666Alfalfa County, OKOK5,6491.3%–

667Graham County, KSKS2,3711.3%–

668Cheatham County, TNTN42,7781.3%–

669Boone County, ININ80,6891.3%–

670Pope County, ARAR64,9761.3%–

671Tate County, MSMS28,7251.3%–

672Thurston County, WAWA304,2611.3%–

673Latah County, IDID41,8421.3%–

674Upshur County, WVWV23,7581.3%–

675Orange County, VTVT30,0021.3%–

676Gage County, NENE21,7111.3%–

677Lyman County, SDSD3,6941.3%–

678Lincoln County, IDID5,6031.3%–

679McNairy County, TNTN26,2361.3%–

680Wetzel County, WVWV13,7341.3%–

681Carter County, MOMO5,4181.3%–

682McMinn County, TNTN57,4041.3%–

683Stone County, ARAR12,7031.3%–

684Bay County, FLFL204,4791.3%–

685George County, MSMS26,3311.3%–

686Monroe County, ALAL18,9651.3%–

687Orleans County, VTVT27,6001.3%–

688Bulloch County, GAGA86,9491.3%–

689Iowa County, IAIA16,5041.3%–

690Walker County, TXTX83,8421.3%–

691Sheridan County, KSKS2,4271.3%–

692Elbert County, COCO30,5341.3%–

693Wright County, MOMO19,6711.3%–

694Caldwell County, KYKY12,6091.3%–

695Florence County, SCSC138,5041.3%–

696Grainger County, TNTN25,7391.3%–

697Sumter County, SCSC105,0671.3%–

698Lumpkin County, GAGA36,1781.3%–

699Clinton County, ILIL37,1281.3%–

700Talbot County, MDMD38,2381.3%–

701Mineral County, MTMT5,1851.3%–

702Bibb County, ALAL22,2621.3%–

703Ross County, OHOH76,4291.3%–

704Garfield County, COCO63,4741.3%–

705Geneva County, ALAL27,5541.3%–

706Coffee County, ALAL56,9531.3%–

707Jefferson County, FLFL16,0071.3%–

708Cass County, MOMO115,8591.3%–

709Garland County, ARAR99,6951.3%–

710Mayes County, OKOK40,4161.3%–

711Montour County, PAPA17,8681.3%–

712Campbell County, KYKY95,4411.3%–

713Wayne County, MSMS19,8071.3%–

714Crockett County, TNTN14,0061.3%–

715Park County, COCO18,3141.3%–

716Goliad County, TXTX7,2081.3%–

717Richmond, VAVA237,2571.3%–

718Bonner County, IDID54,4201.3%–

719Union County, KYKY12,8391.3%–

720Christian County, KYKY70,1151.3%–

721Chowan County, NCNC14,0821.3%–

722Washita County, OKOK10,8841.3%–

723San Juan County, UTUT14,5421.3%–

724Choctaw County, MSMS8,0481.3%–

725Van Buren County, ARAR16,2381.3%–

726Pulaski County, MOMO54,4421.3%–

727Taylor County, WVWV16,2871.3%–

728Cocke County, TNTN37,8891.3%–

729Chesterfield County, SCSC44,7401.3%–

730McCracken County, KYKY67,5531.2%–

731Owyhee County, IDID12,6611.2%–

732Costilla County, COCO3,6791.2%–

733Roscommon County, MIMI23,9141.2%–

734Essex County, NYNY36,4381.2%–

735Chautauqua County, KSKS3,3211.2%–

736Madison County, VAVA14,2371.2%–

737Childress County, TXTX6,6431.2%–

738Osborne County, KSKS3,2851.2%–

739Kootenai County, IDID191,8641.2%–

740San Juan County, COCO8131.2%–

741Izard County, ARAR14,4051.2%–

742Worth County, MOMO1,9141.2%–

743Montgomery County, ININ38,9541.2%–

744Jones County, MSMS66,4961.2%–

745De Soto Parish, LALA27,3811.2%–

746Montrose County, COCO44,5911.2%–

747Escambia County, FLFL333,8341.2%–

748Dunn County, NDND4,0581.2%–

749Beaufort County, SCSC204,4331.2%–

750Sheridan County, NENE4,8091.2%–

751Collingsworth County, TXTX2,4871.2%–

752Johnston County, OKOK10,4481.2%–

753Amherst County, VAVA31,9621.2%–

754Lincoln County, MEME36,5951.2%–

755Autauga County, ALAL61,9201.2%–

756Josephine County, OROR87,8671.2%–

757Barbour County, WVWV15,4141.2%–

758Onslow County, NCNC217,1751.2%–

759Lake County, MTMT33,3921.2%–

760Lee County, SCSC15,7301.2%–

761Jennings County, ININ27,6221.2%–

762Lafayette County, MOMO33,5311.2%–

763Matanuska-Susitna, AKAK118,6661.2%–

764Yolo County, CACA224,4101.2%–

765Kent County, TXTX6741.2%–

766Meade County, KYKY30,6991.2%–

767Upton County, TXTX3,1311.2%–

768Jones County, TXTX20,8611.2%–

769Colonial Heights, VAVA18,7381.2%–

770Defiance County, OHOH38,2921.2%–

771Woodward County, OKOK19,8271.2%–

772Jackson County, MSMS147,6661.2%–

773Banks County, GAGA21,2731.2%–

774Lake County, COCO7,5521.2%–

775Montezuma County, COCO26,6781.2%–

776Glynn County, GAGA87,5991.2%–

777Amite County, MSMS12,4871.2%–

778Iron County, MOMO9,3181.2%–

779Winston County, ALAL23,8291.2%–

780Grundy County, MOMO9,7441.2%–

781Knox County, OHOH64,0021.2%–

782Terrell County, GAGA8,6561.2%–

783Nevada County, CACA101,9111.2%–

784Webster County, KYKY12,9291.2%–

785Gila County, AZAZ53,8011.2%–

786Warren County, MSMS41,7591.2%–

787Cheyenne County, COCO1,7131.2%–

788Logan County, COCO20,6541.2%–

789Lafayette County, MSMS59,5971.2%–

790Columbiana County, OHOH99,3771.2%–

791Alexandria, VAVA160,6621.2%–

792Cascade County, MTMT85,0291.2%–

793Franklin County, NCNC82,0371.2%–

794Erath County, TXTX43,9111.2%–

795Morris County, KSKS5,3481.2%–

796Brown County, ININ15,7771.2%–

797Russell County, KSKS6,5811.2%–

798Coos County, NHNH31,3431.2%–

799Hancock County, MEME57,1711.2%–

800Washington County, TXTX38,2881.2%–

801Jackson County, ILIL52,5011.2%–

802Jefferson County, ALAL665,7421.2%–

803Chesterfield County, VAVA397,1481.2%–

804Berkeley County, SCSC274,6661.2%–

805Union County, IAIA11,8291.2%–

806DeSoto County, MSMS197,9181.2%–

807Person County, NCNC40,6361.2%–

808Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area, AKAK5,7771.2%–

809Deschutes County, OROR213,0721.2%–

810Fergus County, MTMT11,8251.2%–

811Robertson County, TNTN80,1751.2%–

812Mountrail County, NDND9,3951.2%–

813Jefferson County, MSMS6,8251.2%–

814Garfield County, MTMT1,1481.2%–

815Santa Rosa County, FLFL211,1151.2%–

816Belknap County, NHNH65,1471.2%–

817Coweta County, GAGA160,2401.2%–

818Santa Fe County, NMNM156,9071.2%–

819Leon County, FLFL299,0481.2%–

820Gentry County, MOMO6,3841.2%–

821Hancock County, KYKY9,0501.2%–

822Duchesne County, UTUT20,8561.2%–

823Lynchburg, VAVA81,3471.2%–

824Montague County, TXTX21,9661.2%–

825Grand Traverse County, MIMI96,7291.2%–

826Chattahoochee County, GAGA8,4651.2%–

827Murray County, GAGA41,6071.2%–

828Montgomery County, GAGA8,6351.2%–

829Campbell County, TNTN40,2901.2%–

830Caldwell County, TXTX55,1501.2%–

831Oxford County, MEME60,3461.2%–

832Prince Edward County, VAVA22,3911.2%–

833Union County, SCSC26,7991.2%–

834Roanoke, VAVA99,1111.2%–

835Bastrop County, TXTX118,9081.2%–

836Benewah County, IDID10,5081.2%–

837Jefferson County, COCO580,4511.2%–

838Klamath County, OROR70,2741.2%–

839Muskingum County, OHOH87,0141.2%–

840Rockingham County, NHNH324,0771.2%–

841Ramsey County, NDND11,5301.2%–

842Dale County, ALAL49,9121.2%–

843Linn County, OROR132,8431.2%–

844Ferry County, WAWA7,5171.2%–

845Routt County, COCO25,3291.2%–

846Yamhill County, OROR110,0241.2%–

847Letcher County, KYKY19,9521.2%–

848Bedford County, TNTN55,2731.2%–

849Coos County, OROR63,9921.2%–

850Scotts Bluff County, NENE35,5861.2%–

851Whitman County, WAWA48,5121.2%–

852Wilcox County, GAGA8,7971.2%–

853Sebastian County, ARAR130,6411.2%–

854Searcy County, ARAR7,8481.2%–

855Bristol, VAVA16,4181.2%–

856Blanco County, TXTX13,5811.2%–

857Camas County, IDID1,3161.2%–

858Bartholomew County, ININ85,7291.2%–

859Jackson County, KSKS13,4381.2%–

860Fayette County, WVWV38,1651.2%–

861Chester County, TNTN17,9941.2%–

862Clay County, FLFL239,5931.2%–

863Fremont County, IAIA6,5221.2%–

864Moffat County, COCO13,1221.2%–

865Columbia County, GAGA169,1891.2%–

866Johnson County, ARAR26,2251.1%–

867Benton County, OROR97,7281.1%–

868Forest County, PAPA6,6141.1%–

869Hale County, ALAL15,1941.1%–

870Butler County, MOMO41,9041.1%–

871Overton County, TNTN23,7871.1%–

872Fayette County, GAGA125,1561.1%–

873Craven County, NCNC105,0251.1%–

874De Baca County, NMNM1,6471.1%–

875Heard County, GAGA12,1491.1%–

876Caddo County, OKOK26,1301.1%–

877Los Alamos County, NMNM19,4071.1%–

878Medina County, TXTX56,8811.1%–

879Platte County, MOMO114,4001.1%–

880Richland County, WIWI17,0361.1%–

881Logan County, WVWV30,3751.1%–

882Hansford County, TXTX4,9441.1%–

883Douglas County, KSKS120,9201.1%–

884Washington County, FLFL26,6951.1%–

885Roger Mills County, OKOK3,2591.1%–

886Wheeler County, TXTX4,7731.1%–

887Grayson County, TXTX153,6131.1%–

888Sampson County, NCNC61,5041.1%–

889Otero County, COCO17,6831.1%–

890Scott County, ININ25,0531.1%–

891Madison County, IAIA17,2701.1%–

892Union County, OROR25,9001.1%–

893Greene County, IAIA8,6581.1%–

894Cumberland County, NCNC338,4731.1%–

895Durham County, NCNC347,2401.1%–

896Clermont County, OHOH216,9771.1%–

897Crawford County, KSKS39,0081.1%–

898Hood River County, OROR23,7201.1%–

899Camden County, GAGA60,1431.1%–

900Anderson County, KYKY25,2251.1%–

901St. Lawrence County, NYNY105,4881.1%–

902Rockwall County, TXTX140,7381.1%–

903Todd County, KYKY12,9721.1%–

904Phillips County, KSKS4,7281.1%–

905Taylor County, TXTX150,0771.1%–

906Morgan County, ALAL126,4831.1%–

907Gilliam County, OROR1,9711.1%–

908Morgan County, GAGA22,0951.1%–

909Sussex County, VAVA10,7551.1%–

910Columbia County, ARAR21,8941.1%–

911Franklin County, GAGA25,9481.1%–

912Franklin County, ARAR17,7251.1%–

913Aransas County, TXTX26,1461.1%–

914Ellis County, KSKS29,0751.1%–

915Gregg County, TXTX126,0951.1%–

916Cumberland County, PAPA277,2701.1%–

917Louisa County, VAVA42,9241.1%–

918Ballard County, KYKY7,5941.1%–

919Clay County, WVWV7,5381.1%–

920Carroll County, OHOH26,4751.1%–

921Cleveland County, NCNC103,3251.1%–

922Lafayette County, ARAR5,8881.1%–

923Crook County, OROR27,5641.1%–

924Dodge County, GAGA19,6631.1%–

925Bath County, KYKY13,1761.1%–

926McCulloch County, TXTX7,4721.1%–

927Rich County, UTUT2,6871.1%–

928Houston County, TXTX22,3161.1%–

929Marshall County, OKOK16,2551.1%–

930Lake County, MIMI13,1821.1%–

931Whatcom County, WAWA236,3921.1%–

932Pickaway County, OHOH62,9781.1%–

933Boulder County, COCO328,5601.1%–

934Mifflin County, PAPA46,1271.1%–

935Allendale County, SCSC7,3551.1%–

936Fremont County, COCO50,0391.1%–

937Wilson County, TXTX56,1391.1%–

938Calhoun County, GAGA5,4131.1%–

939Columbia County, NYNY60,1681.1%–

940Frontier County, NENE2,6551.1%–

941Doddridge County, WVWV7,6341.1%–

942Sonoma County, CACA486,4441.1%–

943Raleigh County, WVWV71,7751.1%–

944Vigo County, ININ106,5121.1%–

945Sumter County, FLFL157,7721.1%–

946Tallapoosa County, ALAL40,9531.1%–

947Nassau County, FLFL106,8791.1%–

948Calhoun County, ALAL115,8341.1%–

949Wyoming County, WVWV19,8011.1%–

950Jefferson County, OHOH63,5971.1%–

951Payne County, OKOK83,8891.1%–

952Perry County, MSMS11,5771.1%–

953Roosevelt County, NMNM18,6151.1%–

954Chesapeake, VAVA255,3321.1%–

955Cole County, MOMO77,9081.1%–

956Norton County, KSKS5,2881.1%–

957Benzie County, MIMI18,5681.1%–

958Scott County, MOMO37,9751.1%–

959Polk County, GAGA45,5141.1%–

960Inyo County, CACA18,1581.1%–

961Putnam County, MOMO4,5461.1%–

962Hays County, TXTX304,3901.1%–

963Edmonson County, KYKY12,7491.1%–

964Lexington, VAVA7,7691.1%–

965Meade County, KSKS3,8521.1%–

966Warren County, OHOH257,1811.1%–

967Citrus County, FLFL171,6661.1%–

968Denton County, TXTX1,069,3461.1%–

969Horry County, SCSC427,5511.1%–

970Cherokee County, ALAL26,4131.1%–

971Blount County, ALAL60,1561.1%–

972Gilchrist County, FLFL20,4881.1%–

973Washington County, ILIL13,5641.1%–

974Fountain County, ININ17,0131.1%–

975Henry County, TNTN32,8961.1%–

976Tuscaloosa County, ALAL241,3681.1%–

977El Paso County, COCO757,0401.1%–

978Le Flore County, OKOK50,1961.1%–

979Amador County, CACA41,8761.1%–

980Brevard County, FLFL663,9821.1%–

981Larue County, KYKY15,1841.1%–

982Ottawa County, KSKS5,7441.1%–

983Pontotoc County, MSMS32,0961.1%–

984Laramie County, WYWY102,9381.1%–

985Scioto County, OHOH71,3651.1%–

986Montgomery County, TXTX781,1941.1%–

987Preston County, WVWV34,0041.1%–

988Albany County, WYWY38,5581.1%–

989Bryan County, GAGA52,0621.1%–

990Isle of Wight County, VAVA41,3211.1%–

991Bosque County, TXTX18,9181.1%–

992Kenai Peninsula, AKAK61,9511.1%–

993Clark County, ININ130,4511.1%–

994Pawnee County, KSKS5,9911.1%–

995Centre County, PAPA157,3931.1%–

996Jasper County, MOMO127,4281.1%–

997Bartow County, GAGA120,8001.1%–

998Meriwether County, GAGA21,5161.1%–

999Cobb County, GAGA793,3451.1%–

1000Alachua County, FLFL290,0281.1%–

SHOWING 501–1,000 OF 3,090

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UPDATED 2026-06-06 · DATA: US CENSUS BUREAU ACS 5-YEAR ESTIMATES